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Prediction Markets and the 2008 Electoral Map

Electionwatch submitted a predicted electoral map of the 2008 US Presidential election, based on the bets made by the intrade prediction markets. I'm always interested in these markets and how accurate they end up being. This one calls it for Obama, but then again you probably could guess that by just watching 10 minutes of any TV "News" channel.

Expert: Short-term earthquake prediction "very difficult"

WASHINGTON, May 19 (Xinhua) -- After last week's deadly earthquake in southwest China's Sichuan province, quake prediction has become an issue of intense public concern. However, accurate predictions in the short term are indeed "very difficult," said Lucile Jones, a seismologist at the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS),in a recent interview with Xinhua.

U.S. expert: short-term earthquake prediction "very difficult"

After last week's deadly earthquake in southwest China's Sichuan province, quake prediction has become an issue of intense public concern. However, accurate predictions in the short term are indeed "very difficult," said Lucile Jones, a seismologist at the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS),in a recent interview with Xinhua.

U.S. expert: short-term earthquake prediction "very difficult"

WASHINGTON, May 19 (Xinhua) -- After last week's deadly earthquake in southwest China's Sichuan province, quake prediction has become an issue of intense public concern. However, accurate predictions in the short term are indeed "very difficult," said Lucile Jones, a seismologist at the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS),in a recent interview with Xinhua.

What Does Progress' Takeover Mean for Ionas Open Source Strategy?

Carnac the Magnificent has answered the question in the last envelope in the independent middleware market: Progress Software (PRGS) will acquire Iona (IONA). My prediction that it would most likely be another so-called closed source software provider pairing up with an open source provider turned out to be correct. My prediction that it would be IBM (IBM), Sun (JAVA), TIBCO (TIBX), Novell (NOVL), a Telco or a packaged app supplier (as in Workday acquiring Iona spinout Cape Clear)? Not so good.

Nintendo E3 Liveblog

Mark and I are down at the Kodak Theater for Nintendo's E3 press event. It starts at 9:00 AM PDT, with Miyamoto and pals showing off whatever's going to be sold out at Gamestops around the country for the rest of the year. Mark's prediction: a bundled Wii Sports 2 that comes with the new Wii MotionPlus controller. Jason's prediction: a new Nintendo DS motion adapter and/or redesign and/or new color. The liveblog will be here, so bookmark and check back frequently. Update: It's started!

NMR-Assisted Prediction of RNA Secondary Structure: Identification of a Probable Pseudoknot in the Coding Region of an R2 Retrotransposon

Department of Chemistry, University of Rochester, RC Box 270216, Rochester, New York 14627, and Department of Biochemistry and Biophysics, University of Rochester School of Medicine and Dentistry, 601 Elmwood Avenue, Box 712, Rochester, New York 14642

Seismologist's Prediction of Sichuan Quake Ignored, Says Scientist

The same night of Sichuan's May 12 earthquake, Chinese scientist Li Shihui revealed on his blog that Chinese seismologist Geng Qingguo accurately predicted the quake and warned authorities about the disaster in late April. According to Li, Geng's report was ignored by Chinese authorities.

Playing at Protein Prediction

A new distributed protein folding game promises to utilize not just unused computer cycles, but unused brainpower as well.

Cosmic Log: Are prediction markets legit?

Quantum fluctuations in space, science, exploration and other cosmic fields... served up regularly by MSNBC.com science editor Alan Boyle since 2002.

Scientists move closer to earthquake prediction

If the US public is aware of the extent to which the White House was interfering in the internal affairs of Tehran in an attempt to topple the Iranian government, they would demand an immediate change in policy. Full Story

Recent Genetic Discoveries Don't Improve Prediction of Breast Cancer

FRIDAY, July 11 (HealthDay News) — The accuracy of predicting one's chances of developing breast cancer do not seem to improve even with the recent findings of some genetic markers for the disease, a new report says.

Recent Genetic Discoveries Don't Improve Prediction of Breast Cancer

FRIDAY, July 11 (HealthDay News) -- The accuracy of predicting one's chances of developing breast cancer do not seem to improve even with the recent findings of some genetic markers for the disease, a new report says.

Recent Genetic Discoveries Don't Improve Prediction of Breast Cancer

FRIDAY, July 11 (HealthDay News) -- The accuracy of predicting one's chances of developing breast cancer do not seem to improve even with the recent findings of some genetic markers for the disease, a new report says.

Recent Genetic Discoveries Don't Improve Prediction of Breast Cancer

FRIDAY, July 11 (HealthDay News) -- The accuracy of predicting one's chances of developing breast cancer do not seem to improve even with the recent findings of some genetic markers for the disease, a new report says.

Recent Genetic Discoveries Don't Improve Prediction of Breast Cancer

FRIDAY, July 11 (HealthDay News) -- The accuracy of predicting one's chances of developing breast cancer do not seem to improve even with the recent findings of some genetic markers for the disease, a new report says.

Recent Genetic Discoveries Don't Improve Prediction of Breast Cancer

FRIDAY, July 11 (HealthDay News) -- The accuracy of predicting one's chances of developing breast cancer do not seem to improve even with the recent findings of some genetic markers for the disease, a new report says.

[PERSPECTIVES] SYSTEMS BIOLOGY: The Scale of Prediction

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INTELLIGENCE: Google Earth Smokes Chinese Missiles

Prediction Market: By 2012, Moslem scholars will publish evidence that Jesus did not die on the cross.

Microsoft has smartphone window of opportunity

Microsoft’s prediction that it will ship 20 million units of its Windows Mobile software by the end of June 2008 shows that the Redmond, Wash.-based software giant is a viable player in the smartphone space but not necessarily the dominator, said an analyst with Avian Securities.

Single mom selling home and heart on Internet

Alta, Sask bristle over Dion prediction that green plan good in long run

Cosmic Log: Betting on a future market

Science editor Alan Boyle's Weblog: Prediction markets have been known to outdo the pollsters when it comes to handicapping political campaigns. But are they legit? That’s what researchers and regulators want to find out.

Governments Around the Globe Have Become Early Adopters of Web 2.0 Strategies.

Will e-government be replaced by Gov 2.0? This is the prediction made by market research firm Government Insights, (GI) an IDC company. E-government was all about putting citizen services on the Web. Gov 2.0 is about assessing, sharing and interacting with information to create new opportunities and to allow agencies to deliver more holistic services to citizens, according to a June 12 Webinar conducted by Government Insights.

Quantum Systems Could Flout Physics Law

Scientists in the Weizmann Institute’s Faculty of Chemistry, together with colleagues in Germany, have made a startling prediction: Simply 'taking the temperature' of certain quantum systems at frequent intervals might cause them to disobey a hard and fast rule of thermodynamics.

Scientists show quantum systems could flout physics law

Scientists in the Weizmann Institute's Faculty of Chemistry, together with colleagues in Germany, have made a startling prediction: Simply 'taking the temperature' of certain quantum systems at frequent intervals might cause them to disobey a hard and fast rule of thermodynamics.

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